Key Numbers behind the Wizards loss to the Raptors - Bullets Forever

The Wizards gave the Raptors a tough game, rallying from a big early deficit to tie the game in the fourth quarter, but couldn’t close and lost 122-118. Check out the recap, here.

It was yet another subpar defensive performance for the Wizards — the 14th time in 27 games they’ve allowed their opponent to score 120 or more points.

The Wizards got superb performances from Ish Smith and Bradley Beal. According to Fred Katz of The Athletic, Smith had the first perfect shooting night for a Washington guard with at least nine field goal attempts.

Game over. Wizards keep it close in Toronto but lose 122-118. Washington now 8-19.

• Ish Smith 26 pts, 9-9 FGs (!!), 4-4 3PAs, 4-4 FTs (first perfect game for a guard w/ 9+ FGA in franchise history)
• Beal 37-7-6
• Bertans 3-15 FGs, 2-12 3PA
• Lowry 26-4-9

— Fred Katz (@FredKatz) December 21, 2019

Davis Bertans, who’d been riding a wave of stellar performances, had a bad shooting night, which included a miss on a wide-open three that would have given the Wizards late in the fourth quarter.

Still, offense wasn’t Washington’s problem. Once again, the team had a strong offensive performance, and once again they let themselves down with poor defense.

Four Factors

In his book, Basketball On Paper, now Wizards assistant coach Dean Oliver formalized the four factors (offensive and defensive) that define who wins and loses in basketball. Here are the numbers in those factors from the Wizards-Raptors game:

Wizards-Raptors Four Factors

STAT	WIZARDS	RAPTORS
STAT	WIZARDS	RAPTORS
efg	0.54	0.564
orb	18%	16%
tov	13%	17%
ftm	0.28	0.44
ortg	115	119
pace	103

Player Production Average and Scoreboard Impact Rating

Player Production Average (PPA) is an overall production metric I developed, which credits players for things they do to help the team win, and debits them for things that don’t. PPA is pace-neutral and accounts for defense. In PPA, 100 is average and higher is better.

Scoreboard Impact Rating (SIR) translates production into points on the scoreboard in this game.

Wizards PPA and SIR

WIZARDS	MIN	PPA	SIR
WIZARDS	MIN	PPA	SIR
Smith	30	402	54
Beal	39	213	37
Mathews	16	154	11
Thomas	27	89	11
Mahinmi	16	51	4
Brown	27	9	1
Schofield	22	-46	0
Pasecniks	14	-133	0
Bonga	12	-165	0
Bertans	38	-71	0

Raptors PPA and SIR

RAPTORS	MIN	PPA	SIR
RAPTORS	MIN	PPA	SIR
Ibaka	36	201	37
Lowry	41	113	24
Anunoby	33	97	16
Hollis-Jefferson	19	153	15
Davis	18	109	10
VanVleet	34	55	10
McCaw	34	39	7
Boucher	13	48	3
Miller	14	-86	0

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December 21, 2019 at 08:03PM
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Key Numbers behind the Wizards loss to the Raptors - Bullets Forever
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